Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 0.200991 0.228606 0.258226 0.292311 0.330404 0.371614 0.419522
2026-01-11 0.163920 0.200831 0.243061 0.294777 0.356220 0.426692 0.513441
2026-01-18 0.139079 0.181715 0.233274 0.299837 0.383078 0.483283 0.612547
2026-01-25 0.121819 0.168534 0.227858 0.308063 0.412909 0.544460 0.721038
2026-02-01 0.104869 0.152990 0.216921 0.307075 0.429749 0.589493 0.811626
2026-02-08 0.091164 0.139706 0.206936 0.305467 0.444501 0.631696 0.900343
2026-02-15 0.080032 0.128428 0.198103 0.303917 0.458285 0.672530 0.988892
2026-02-22 0.073011 0.122186 0.195514 0.310502 0.483322 0.729732 1.102868
2026-03-01 0.065395 0.114018 0.189040 0.310377 0.498016 0.772515 1.198220
2026-03-08 0.058964 0.106907 0.183319 0.310563 0.512676 0.815517 1.295692
2026-03-15 0.053534 0.100769 0.178417 0.311345 0.527876 0.859687 1.396776
2026-03-22 0.049504 0.096529 0.176102 0.315881 0.548951 0.913571 1.515058
2026-03-29 0.046188 0.093337 0.175487 0.323568 0.576301 0.979887 1.658249
2026-04-05 0.042403 0.088847 0.172185 0.326351 0.595654 1.034558 1.786077
2026-04-12 0.039439 0.085545 0.170631 0.331942 0.619962 1.098431 1.932002
2026-04-19 0.037238 0.083461 0.171053 0.340982 0.650655 1.174321 2.101381
2026-04-26 0.033958 0.078807 0.166204 0.339913 0.663323 1.220447 2.223310
2026-05-03 0.030951 0.074341 0.161258 0.338157 0.674445 1.264260 2.343203
2026-05-10 0.028267 0.070232 0.156590 0.336463 0.685386 1.308078 2.464953
2026-05-17 0.026748 0.068505 0.156531 0.343682 0.713279 1.383039 2.644426
2026-05-24 0.024662 0.065231 0.152957 0.343547 0.727057 1.433223 2.782165
2026-05-31 0.022802 0.062250 0.149706 0.343752 0.741379 1.484929 2.924813
2026-06-07 0.021164 0.059598 0.146901 0.344608 0.756924 1.539495 3.074957